Indian stock market sentiment in the week starting 9 February 2026 will be determined by inflation data, trading activities of foreign investors and global cues. Market experts say that, apart from this, the geo-political events and the results of the third quarter i.e. Q3 Results will also guide the movement of the market.
According to experts, investors in India will be closely watching the retail inflation (CPI) figures to be released on February 12. These figures will give an indication of price trends. Along with this, the data of Foreign Exchange Reserves coming on February 13 will also be important, through which the state of the country's external sector can be understood.
According to Ajit Mishra, SVP and Head of Research, Religare Broking Ltd, this week is full of important triggers both domestically and globally. He further said that the 'earning season' (results season) is still active and the results of major companies like Titan Company as well as Mahindra and Mahindra are due, due to which certain stocks may see big movements.
Investors at the global level will be watching the US economic data calendar. Apart from this, market players will also be keeping an eye on the performance of the Nasdaq Composite after the recent decline. Mishra further said that geo-political events and their impact on the commodity market will also be closely monitored.
On the Q3 results front, companies such as Ashok Leyland, ONGC, Bajaj Electricals and Eicher Motors will also announce their results this week, which may add to the market jitters.
India and the US have agreed on the framework of an interim trade agreement (India-US Trade Deal) on Saturday. Under this agreement, the two countries will reduce import duty on several items to increase mutual trade. The US will reduce tariffs on Indian goods to 18 percent from the current 50 percent. On the other hand, India will eliminate or reduce import duties on all US industrial products and many food and agricultural products.
According to Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, Union Budget 2026 and RBI's monetary policy decisions are now largely absorbed in the market. After this the Indian stock market has now entered a consolidation phase, where investors are now focusing on the pace of CapEx and actual spending.
Overall market conditions are becoming cautious but positive right now. The movement of the market in the near future will depend on the global signals, capital flow and the ongoing geo-political events in the Middle East. Notably, the BSE Sensex gained 2,857.46 points or 3.53 percent last week, while the NSE Nifty gained 868.25 points or 3.49 percent.
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